This week's SBV chart example is based on the 10-day SBV(20) Nasdaq 100 chart.
+31 points on the Nasdaq 100
This week's SBV example is a continuation of the Nasdaq 100 chart example of October 23, 2009. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. Nasdaq 100 index. 10-day view. 1 bar = 10 minutes. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
10/20/2009
rule #2
Buy
1756
+12
10/21/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1768
-4
10/21/2009
rule #5
Cash
1772
10/22/2009
rule #2
Buy
1745
+10
10/23/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1755
-7
10/23/2009
rule #5
Cash
1762
10/23/2009
rule #2
Buy
1755
-1
10/23/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1754
-20
10/24/2009
rule #2
Buy
1774
-2
10/24/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1772
+21
10/24/2009
rule #2
Buy
1751
-11
10/25/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1740
0
10/25/2009
rule #2
Buy
1740
-7
10/25/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1733
+31
10/29/2009
rule #2
Buy
1702
+9
10/29/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1711
0
10/29/2009
rule #5
Cash
1711
10/30/2009
rule #2
Buy
1667
Total:
+31 points
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 10-day SBV(20) Nasdaq 100 chart.
+40 points on the Nasdaq 100
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. Nasdaq 100 index. 10-day view. 1 bar = 10 minutes. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
10/15/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1752
+5
10/15/2009
rule #2
Buy
1747
+2
10/15/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1749
+15
10/16/2009
rule #2
Buy
1734
+8
10/19/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1742
-4
10/19/2009
rule #2
Buy
1746
+8
10/19/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1754
-1
10/20/2009
rule #5
Cash
1755
10/20/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1753
-3
10/20/2009
rule #2
Buy
1756
+12
10/21/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1768
-4
10/21/2009
rule #5
Cash
1772
10/22/2009
rule #2
Buy
1745
+10
10/23/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1755
-7
10/23/2009
rule #5
Cash
1762
10/23/2009
rule #2
Buy
1755
-1
10/23/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1754
Total:
+40 points
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 5-day SBV(20) Russell 2000 chart.
+10 points on the Russell 2000
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. Russell index. 5-day view. 1 bar = 5 minutes. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
10/13/2009
rule #2
Buy
608.90
+2.70
10/13/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
611.60
-0.10
10/13/2009
rule #3
Buy
611.70
0
10/13/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
611.70
+0.50
10/13/2009
rule #2
Buy
611.20
+5.20
10/14/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
616.40
-0.80
10/14/2009
rule #5
Cash
617.20
10/14/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
620.40
-1.30
10/14/2009
rule #5
Cash
621.70
10/15/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
620.10
+0.20
10/15/2009
rule #2
Buy
619.90
+0.50
10/15/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
620.40
+0.20
10/15/2009
rule #3
Buy
620.40
+0.60
10/15/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
620.80
-1.20
10/15/2009
rule #2
Buy
622.00
-3.20
10/16/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
618.80
+6.10
10/16/2009
rule #2
Buy
612.70
+0.60
10/16/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
613.30
-2.10
10/16/2009
rule #3
Buy
615.40
+1.60
10/16/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
617.00
+0.70
Total:
+10.20
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 19, 2009
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
8/26/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1030
0
8/27/2009
rule #5
Cash
1030
9/04/2009
rule #2
Buy
1005
+59
9/21/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1064
-4
9/22/2009
rule #5
Cash
1068
9/28/2009
rule #2
Buy
1062
-25
10/1/2009
rule #5
Cash
1037
10/5/2009
rule #2
Buy
1035
+2
10/5/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1037
-3
10/5/2009
rule #2
Buy
1040
+22
10/9/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1066
Total:
+51 (+5%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 15-day SBV(16) S&P 500 chart.
+3.8% (41 points) on the S&P 500
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 15-day view. 1 bar = 15 minutes. SBV(16)
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
9/21/2009
rule #2
Buy
1065
+7
9/22/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1072
0
9/23/2009
rule #5
Cash
1072
9/23/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1060
+9
9/24/2009
rule #2
Buy
1051
-8
9/25/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1043
-6
9/25/2009
rule #2
Buy
1049
+13
9/28/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1062
-5
9/29/2009
rule #5
Cash
1067
9/30/2009
rule #2
Buy
1054
+2
9/30/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1056
+27
10/2/2009
rule #2
Buy
1029
-1
10/2/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1028
+3
Total:
+41 (+3.8%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
1 point on the S&P 500 = $50 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 futures contract
10 points on the S&P 500 = $5,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contracts
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
9/22/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1071.00
-0.50
9/22/2009
rule #5
Cash
1071.50
9/23/2009
rule #2
Buy
1070.00
+2.75
9/23/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1072.75
-2.75
9/23/2009
rule #3
Buy
1075.50
-5.50
9/23/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1070.00
+19.00
9/24/2009
rule #2
Buy
1051.00
-0.75
9/24/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1050.25
+1.75
9/24/2009
rule #2
Buy
1048.50
+2.25
9/25/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1050.75
+5.75
9/25/2009
rule #2
Buy
1045.00
+1.25
9/25/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1046.25
+1.50
Total:
+24.75 (+2.3%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 4, 2009 where the last signal was "Buy". Since then
the S&P 500 have gained 107 points (+12%)
This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
7/10/2009
rule #2
Buy
879
+93
7/28/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
972
-7
7/28/2009
rule #5
Cash
979
8/04/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1006
+5
8/04/2009
rule #3
Buy
1001
-2
8/05/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
999
-14
8/07/2009
rule #2
Buy
1013
-10
8/10/2009
rule #5
Cash
1003
8/12/2009
rule #2
Buy
1005
-21
8/17/2009
rule #5
Cash
984
8/26/2009
rule #4
Sell
1030
0
8/27/2009
rule #5
Cash
1030
9/04/2009
rule #2
Buy
1005
+63
Total:
+107 (+12.2%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 4, 2008 where the last signal was "Buy". Since then
the S&P 500 and our signal have gained 37 points (+3.7%)
This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
7/10/2009
rule #2
Buy
879
+93
7/28/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
972
-7
7/28/2009
rule #5
Cash
979
8/04/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1006
+5
8/04/2009
rule #3
Buy
1001
-2
8/05/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
999
-14
8/07/2009
rule #2
Buy
1013
-10
8/10/2009
rule #5
Cash
1003
8/12/2009
rule #2
Buy
1005
-21
8/17/2009
rule #5
Cash
984
8/26/2009
rule #4
Sell
1030
0
8/27/2009
rule #5
Cash
1030
9/04/2009
rule #2
Buy
1005
+37
Total:
+81 (+9.2%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of August 8, 2008. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
7/10/2009
rule #2
Buy
879
+93
7/28/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
972
-7
7/28/2009
rule #5
Cash
979
8/04/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1006
+5
8/04/2009
rule #3
Buy
1001
-2
8/05/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
999
-14
8/07/2009
rule #2
Buy
1013
-10
8/10/2009
rule #5
Cash
1003
8/12/2009
rule #2
Buy
1005
-21
8/17/2009
rule #5
Cash
984
8/26/2009
rule #4
Sell
1030
0
8/27/2009
rule #5
Cash
1030
9/04/2009
rule #2
Buy
1005
Total:
+44 (+5%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
1 point on S&P 500 = $50 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 futures contract
10 points on S&P 500 = $5,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contract
40 points on S&P 500 = $20,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contracts
This week's SBV chart example is a continuation of the previous week's example and is based on the 5-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart.
On 5-day and smaller timeframes majority of signals are generated during the trading hours. In this case some of the traders may prefer to hold overnight position while the other traders may chose to close all opened positions by the end of a trading session. Last week we compared these two ways of trading SBV oscillator: by holding overnight position and by closing a trade by the end of a session. In this week's chart example we continued using the SBV simple trading system that is adjusted to close position by the end of a trading session.
Chart 1. The simple trading system. S&P 500 index. 5-day view. 1 bar = 5 minutes. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a minus 20% (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a minus 20% (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a plus 20% (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a Plus 20% (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
In case when a trader prefers closing all signals by the end of a trading session the simple trading system should be modified to provide rules that would guide what to do at the market open and what to do at the market close. Below we show a few possible rules that could be added to the simple trading system above that uses plus 20% and minus 20% as signal lines.
After the Market opens:
If after the market opens the SBV indicator is above plus 20% and moves up, we will open a long position;
If after the market opens the SBV indicator is below minus 20% and moves down, we will open a short position;
In all other cases we will wait when a new signal is generated.
Before the Market closes:
If a signal is generated when it is less than one hour left to the closing bell (after 15:00) then this signal is used to close previously opened position only. New position is not opened within the last hour of trading;
If no signals were generated within the last hour of trading then previously opened position is closed at the end of the trading session.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system
Time
Motivation (Rule #)
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
8/24/2009
rule #6
Buy
1031.75
+1.25
8/24/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1033.00
+6.75
8/24/2009
rule #2
Buy
1026.25
-0.75
8/24/2009
#1 and #10
Cash
1025.50
8/25/2009
rule #2
Buy
1029.00
+3.75
8/25/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1032.75
+2.25
8/25/2009
#2 and #10
Cash
1030.50
8/26/2009
rule #2
Buy
1031.50
-4.75
8/26/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1026.75
-0.75
8/26/2009
rule #2
Buy
1027.50
-1.50
8/26/2009
rule #5
Cash
1026.00
8/27/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1019.50
+1.00
8/27/2009
rule #2
Buy
1018.50
-1.25
8/27/2009
rule #1
Sell Short
1017.25
-2.75
8/27/2009
rule #2
Buy
1020.00
+10.75
8/27/2009
#4 and #10
Cash
1030.75
8/28/2009
rule #6
Buy
1036.50
-4.75
8/28/2009
rule #4
Sell Short
1031.75
+3.75
8/28/2009
rule #2
Buy
1028.00
+1.25
8/28/2009
#4 and #10
Cash
1029.25
Total:
+14.25 (+1.4%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.