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Volume based technical analysis of broad market indexes. The trading system and market-timing system aid for the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100..., as well as QQQQ, SPDRs, Diamonds and other index derivatives. You too can achieve these returns...
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Real-Time Market Indicators (The only source of intraday volume for U.S. indices)
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Daily Market Outlook (11/19/2009):
Yesterday, we had suggested that '... further advances will not be sustainable at this time and might be sold down..'. Today, we saw the largest setback for the bulls in November, with the major indexes closing down for the session.
(Click here to read complete current Market Outlook)
Market Performance:
After a long climb to new highs this month which had completely silenced the bears, sellers gained the upper hand today. In a rare bearish session, the NASDAQ 100 index lost 1.58%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.33%, and the Dow was off 0.88%. For the week, the indexes are now showing mixed results: While the NASDAQ 100 is currently down 0.86%, the S&P 500 and the Dow remain in the green, presently up 0.14% and 0.62%, respectively.
Today's volume output on the S&P 500 amounted to 3,461 million shares; this is 15% above the index's average daily volume generated over the past three months.
Volume Analysis:
9:30 - 11:05: The most bearish day yet in November began with a sizable gap down opening on the NASDAQ 100, with the index losing 13 points at the open. Building on that deficit, the bears managed to push the index strongly lower in the early going; it bottomed for the day around 11:05. During the morning slide, the index accumulated a sizable amount of bearish volume (seen in red on the SBV oscillator pane). View a 5-day chart of the index to place the resulting bearish volume surge in the context of recent market action; as you can see, the spike was sizable. On a one-day chart, you see less of a spike but more of a steady, broad-based accumulation of bearish volume. By 11:05, the bearish volume surge seen on the 5-day chart signaled that the bears' efforts to push the market any lower were at risk of becoming exhausted and that an upside reversal was likely.
11:05 - 16:00: Given the steady accumulation of bearish volume seen during the morning sell-off, the bulls now regained momentum and engineered a steady but very shallow recovery effort. By the close, the gradually rising index had regained only a fraction of its losses, finishing the day down more than 1.5%. During the afternoon upswing, the index output a mix of bullish and of bearish volume; however, volume activity was muted; it was clearly dwarfed by the much more pronounced accumulation of bearish volume seen during the morning. A 5-day chart of the index shows how today's overall volume activity picked up considerably from prior sessions; the chart also shows that today's action produced a surplus of bearish volume.
Short Term (lasts a few hours to a few days):
Click here for
clear and straightforward mid- and short-term prediction...
| Index | Change | |
| AMEX Comp. | -1.36% | |
| NASDAQ Comp. | -0.50% | |
| NYSE Comp. | -0.47% | |
| DJI | -0.15% | |
| S&P 100 | -0.31% | |
| S&P 500 | -0.33% | |
| Russell 3000 | -0.34% |
| Index | Change | |
| Gold/Silver | -0.84% | |
| Oil | -2.25% | |
| Semiconductor | -0.81% |
| Index | Adv/Decl | |
| AMEX | 390/617 | |
| NASDAQ | 1,152/1,343 | |
| NYSE | 1,160/1,877 | |
| DJI | 8/21 | |
| S&P 100 | 35/62 | |
| S&P 500 | 163/326 | |
| Russell 3000 | 1,131/1,599 |
| Index | Volume (K) | |
| AMEX | 679,722 | |
| NASDAQ | 1,833,719 | |
| NYSE | 3,743,408 | |
| DJI | 682,769 | |
| S&P 100 | 1,582,639 | |
| S&P 500 | 3,155,156 | |
| Russell 3000 | 4,740,010 |
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Adv. / Decl. Momentum Volume
