- SBV Technical Analysis

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S&P 500:

An Example of a Trading System based on the SBV Oscillator


March 6, 2009

+11% on the S&P 500 in 2 weeks

This week SBV chart example is a continuation of previous example on February 27, 2009 where the last signal was generated to sell. This week SBV chart example is based on the 15-day SBV(16) S&P 500 chart.

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 15-day view. 1 bar = 15 min. SBV(16)
SP 500 Chart
  1. Once the SBV indicator declines below negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator advances above negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
  3. Once the SBV indicator rallies above positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator declines below positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
  5. Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV dropped into negative territory and started to rise without hitting the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in the positive territory, and stay in cash until a new buy signal is generated. Vise versa for a long position.

Table 1: Trades based on the   5-rule (additional stop-loss rule) system.
Time Motivation Signal Index Profit
(points)
02/19/09 rule #1 Sell Short 786 +13
02/20/09 rule #2 Buy 773 -3
02/20/09 rule #5 Cash 770  
02/23/09 rule #4 Sell Short 762 +12
02/24/09 rule #2 Buy 750 +7
02/25/09 rule #4 Sell Short 757 -7
02/25/09 rule #2 Buy 764 +8
02/26/09 rule #4 Sell Short 772 +5
02/26/09 rule #2 Buy 767 -4
02/26/09 rule #1 Sell Short 763 +19
02/27/09 rule #2 Buy 744 -1
02/27/09 rule #4 Sell Short 743 +40
03/03/09 rule #2 Buy 703 -5
03/03/09 rule #5 Cash 698  
03/03/09 rule #2 Buy 700 -3
03/03/09 rule #5 Cash 697  
03/04/09 rule #4 Sell Short 709 -11
03/04/09 rule #2 Buy 720 -7
03/04/09 rule #4 Sell Short 713 +26
03/06/09 rule #2 Buy 687 -1
03/06/09 rule #4 Sell Short 686 +5
03/06/09 rule #2 Buy 681 -10
03/06/09 rule #1 Sell Short 671  

Total:  

+83
(+10.6%)

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review a chart history of prior volume surges including their magnitude (i.e., the level the SBV indicator reached).

Our charts are unique in that they give traders the option to choose specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerance. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system you created.

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and it does not constitute trading advice, nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions.

 More Examples:
Date Index Timeframe Result Number of Trades
Nov 6, 2009 Nasdaq 100 10-day +81 points (+4.7%) 9 "Long" and 9 "Short"
Oct 30, 2009 Nasdaq 100 10-day +31 points (+2.3%) 8 "Long" and 7 "Short"
Oct 23, 2009 Nasdaq 100 10-day +40 points (+2.3%) 8 "Long" and 10 "Short"
Oct 16, 2009 Russell 2000 5-day +10 points (+1.7%) 8 "Long" and 10 "Short"
Oct 9, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +59 points (+5.0%) 4 "Long" and 4 "Short"
Oct 2, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +41 points (+3.8%) 5 "Long" and 6 "Short"
Sept 18, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +107 points (+12%) 5 "Long" and 4 "Short"
Sept 18, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +107 points (+12%) 5 "Long" and 4 "Short"
Sept 11, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +81 points (+9.2%) 5 "Long" and 4 "Short"
Sept 4, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +44 points (+5.0%) 5 "Long" and 4 "Short"
Aug 28, 2009 S&P 500 5-day +14 points (+1.4%) 9 "Long" and 6 "Short"
Aug 21, 2009 S&P 500 5-day +14 points (+1.4%) 7 "Long" and 9 "Short"
Aug 14, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +15 points (+1.5%) 8 "Long" and 7 "Short"
Aug 7, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +93 points (+9.8%) 6 "Long" and 6 "Short"
July 31, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +104 points (+11%) 4 "Long" and 4 "Short"
July 24, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +109 points (+12%) 4 "Long" and 4 "Short"
July 17, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +74 points (+7.9%) 7 "Long" and 8 "Short"
July 10, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +57 points (+6.3%) 8 "Long" and 8 "Short"
July 02, 2009 Nasdaq 100 30-day +74 points (+5.0%) 7 "Long" and 7 "Short"
June 26, 2009 S&P 500 30-day +68 points (+7.5%) 8 "Long" and 8 "Short"
June 19, 2009 S&P 500 30-day +48 points (+5.3%) 7 "Long" and 7 "Short"
June 12, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +47 points (+5.0%) 9 "Long" and 10 "Short"
June 5, 2009 S&P 500 30-day +59 points (+6.4%) 5 "Long" and 7 "Short"
May 29, 2009 S&P 500 30-day +36 points (+4.2%) 8 "Long" and 9 "Short"
May 22, 2009 S&P 500 30-day +32 points (+3.7%) 6 "Long" and 9 "Short"
May 15, 2009 S&P 500 10-day +39 points (+4.3%) 7 "Long" and 7 "Short"
May 8, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +84 points (+11.8%) 8 "Long" and 8 "Short"
May 1, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +65 points (+9.1%) 7 "Long" and 7 "Short"
April 24, 2009 Nasdaq 100 5-day +53 points (+4.0%) 6 "Long" and 7 "Short"
April 17, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +93 points (+11%) 7 "Long" and 6 "Short"
April 9, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +99 points (+12%) 6 "Long" and 5 "Short"
April 3, 2009 S&P 500 15-day
60-day
+135 points (+17%)
+86 points (+10%)
6 "Long" and 6 "Short"
5 "Long" and 4 "Short"
March 27, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +129 points (+18%) 7 "Long" and 8 "Short"
March 20, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +45 points (+6.3%) 9 "Long" and 10 "Short"
March 13, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +38 points (+5.0%) 10 "Long" and 10 "Short"
March 6, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +83 points (+11%) 10 "Long" and 10 "Short"
Feb. 27, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +46 points (+5.6%) 10 "Long" and 10 "Short"
Feb. 20, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +239 points (+27%) 6 "Long" and 5 "Short"
Feb. 13, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +239 points (+27%) 6 "Long" and 5 "Short"
Feb. 2, 2009 S&P 500 15-day +58 points (+7.0%) 7 "Long" and 6 "Short"
Jan. 23, 2009 Nasdaq 100 5-day +75 points (+6.2%) 7 "Long" and 7 "Short"
Jan. 23, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +287 points (+34%) 9 "Long" and 7 "Short"
Jan. 16, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +254 points (+30%) 8 "Long" and 7 "Short"
Jan. 09, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +252 points (+29%) 9 "Long" and 9 "Short"
Jan. 02, 2009 S&P 500 60-day +242 points (+24%) 9 "Long" and 8 "Short"
 

 


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11/7/2009 - SV1