AMEX Gold BUGS Index(HUI)

AMEX Gold BUGS Index Technical Analysis of Volatility

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Volatility Technical Analysis - AMEX Gold BUGS Index


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Below are the results (quotes) of the volatility analysis (Average True Range, Standard Deviation) applied to the HUI index.

HUI Index Info:

HUI Technical Analysis:

Gold AMEX Index (^HUI)

Select Index:
Time (ET)LastChangeOpenHighLowVolume
Friday, May 24, 2013 16:00255.44-3.53 (-1.36%)257.75261.69253.4020,683K

Gold AMEX Technical Analysis

Volatility Analysis

Gold AMEX Index (^HUI) True Range (TR), Average True Range (ATR) and ATR in percent

PeriodTRATR*ATR%Sentiment**
9-day Period 8.29 11.79 4.55 % Extremely High Volatility
14-day Period 8.29 11.47 4.43 % Extremely High Volatility
20-day Period 8.29 10.35 4.00 % Extremely High Volatility
*  As a rule, high volatility indicates a Bearish sentiment and is a characteristic of a down-trend. In contrast, low volatility indicates a Bullish sentiment and usually can be seen during up-trends.

Gold AMEX Index (^HUI) Standard Deviation (Historical Volatility)

IndicatorStandard
Deviation
Relative
Deviation
Annualized
Volatility
Sentiment*
9-day Period 5.84 2.27 % 36.04 High Volatility
14-day Period 11.66 4.40 % 69.90 Extremely High Volatility
20-day Period 11.85 4.41 % 69.94 Extremely High Volatility
* Standard Deviation, also called Historical Volatility, is a measurement of the security's volatility over a specified period of time. The same as Average True Range, it helps to define periods of high low volatility.

About Analysis of the Volatility.

Many traders ignore analysis of the Gold AMEX Index (^HUI) volatility by underestimating its importance. A trader may assume that the technical indicators or Gold AMEX trading system that he is using is bad when it only need to be adjusted to the volatility.

The Gold AMEX volatility analysis is used to define periods of high and low volatility. As a rule, Gold AMEX high volatility is a nature of a down-trend, while during an Gold AMEX up-trend we may see Gold AMEX low volatility. Furthermore, during high volatility, the price of the Gold AMEX tends to change direction more quickly than during trading periods of low volatility.

We recommend that, from time to time, you check the volatility, especially if the trading system starts to generate signals when it's too early to open/close trade or when it's too late to open/close a trade. In such situations, you might consider setting a tighter indicator setting in highly volatile periods and a looser indicator setting in periods of low volatility.

At the same time, Gold AMEX volatility analysis could be used to generate Gold AMEX trading signals. An increase in volatility during an up-trend may indicate a coming correction (down-trend) and, conversely, a decrease in volatility during a down-trend may indicate a coming reversal and recovery.

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