S&P 500:
An Example of an Intraday Trading System using the SBV Oscillator


August 24, 2007

SBV Oscillator did not miss the recent crush
+13.6% ON S&P 500

Monitor our charts to see when to sell again!!!

This week SBV chart example is a continuation of the example on August 10, 2007 where the last SBV signal was "buy". In this week's example we use the same settings that were already used in our previous week example by showing the consistency of our system over the long period of time.

Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 60-day view. 1 bar = 1 hour. SBV(20).
S&P 500 Chart

It's Simple and profitable

In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator declines below minus 20% (the indicator will now show green), we enter a short position (if we are not already short);
  2. Once the SBV indicator advances above minus 20% (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows green);
  3. Once the SBV indicator rallies above plus 20% (the indicator will now show red), we enter a long position (if we are not already long);
  4. Once the SBV indicator declines below plus 20% (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows red).

We recommended that you incorporate additional stop-loss rules that suit your personal risk tolerance.

Table 1: Trades based on the SBV Oscillator.
Open Trades Closed Trades Profit
(points)
Time Motivation Trade Index Time Motivation Trade Index
06/28/07 rule #2 Buy 1504 07/09/07 rule #4 Sell 1532 +28
07/09/07 rule #4 Sell Short 1532 07/12/07 rule #2 Buy to Cover 1536 -4
07/12/07 rule #2 Buy 1536 07/17/07 rule #4 Sell 1553 +15
07/17/07 rule #4 Sell Short 1553 07/19/07 rule #2 Buy to Cover 1553 0
07/19/07 rule #2 Buy 1553 07/20/07 rule #1 Sell 1540 -13
07/20/07 rule #1 Sell Short 1540 07/23/07 rule #2 Buy to Cover 1536 +4
07/23/07 rule #2 Buy 1536 07/24/07 rule #1 Sell 1533 -3
07/24/07 rule #1 Sell Short 1533 08/02/07 rule #2 Buy to Cover 1462 +71
08/02/07 rule #2 Buy 1462 08/03/07 rule #1 Sell 1460 -2
08/03/07 rule #1 Sell Short 1460 08/06/07 rule #2 Buy to Cover 1444 +16
08/06/07 rule #2 Buy 1444 08/09/07 rule #4 Sell 1464 +20
08/09/07 rule #4 Sell Short 1464 08/17/07 rule #2 Buy to Cover 1434 +30
08/17/07 rule #2 Buy 1434       1479 +43

Total:  

+205

1 point on S&P 500 = $50 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 futures contract

100 points on S&P 500 = $5,000 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 contract

200 points on S&P 500 = $100,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contracts

Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review a chart history of prior volume surges including their magnitude (i.e., the level the SBV indicator reached).

Our charts are unique in that they give traders the option to choose specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerance. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system you created.

Disclaimer: The chart example is intended for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice, nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions.

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