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Chart School |
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Best Trade Newsletters
"Best
Trade" Newsletter (December 20, 2007)
This newsletter is intended
for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice,
nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. This newsletter illustrates
examples based
principally on MarketVolume® index volume indicators and
advance/decline (AD)
indicators. We do not mean to imply that you should follow
our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our
analytics to develop your own trading style.
This "best trade" is a continuation of previous "Best trade" newsletter
posted (sent to MV subscribers) on
December 12, 2007.
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades,
including detailed trade calculations.
|
Chart 1: |
S&P 500 60-day Chart
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In Table 1 - a 'Table of Trade Motivators'
- we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.
Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators
|
Date |
Trading
Decision |
Motivation |
|
12/11/2007 |
Buy Calls |
Today's precipitous drop was associated with a huge buying surge.
In fact, today's volume output exceeded the average volume generated over the
past nine sessions by 27% on the Dow, by 19% on the
S&P 500, and by 5% on the
NASDAQ 100. The largest volume surge was noted on the AMEX; here, today's volume
output exceeded the average volume production over the last nine sessions by
35%.
Advance/decline volume and issues ratios hit
critically low levels. We saw following readings: 0.04 A/D issues ratio and
0.09 A/D volume
ratio for S&P
500. |
|
12/12/2007 |
Sell Calls |
The dominant buying surge that was created yesterday afternoon
following the Fed’s announcement on interest rates manifested in a strong gap up
opening on the NASDAQ 100 today; we found that it is safe to sell previously
bought calls. |
|
12/12/2007 |
Buy Calls |
Late in today's session, we witnessed another downswing on the
major indexes. It generated a huge amount of buying volume. It is our assumption
that the cumulative buying volume produced from the buying surges seen over the
past two sessions could soon prompt a market recovery from Tuesday's selloff and
potentially lead to a resumption of the midterm uptrend. |
|
12/20/2007 |
Buy Calls |
SBV oscillator advanced above minus 20% based on the 60-day SBV(20) chart. This
reveals that there is a chance of a short-term move up. |
Below we list in detail the actual trades made,
along with the netted returns achieved.
Table 2: Details of the trades
|
Date |
Trade |
Strike |
Expiration |
Contracts |
Contract
Price |
|
12/11/2007 |
Buy SYHBU Calls |
$151 |
Feb, 2008 |
20 |
$4.45 |
|
12/12/2007 |
Sell SYHBU Calls |
$151 |
Feb, 2008 |
20 |
$5.45 |
|
12/12/2007 |
Buy SYHAT Calls |
$150 |
Jan, 2008 |
30 |
$3.15 |
|
12/20/2007 |
Buy SYHAT Calls |
$150 |
Jan, 2008 |
80 |
$1.24 |
In this example, we have based our SPY options trade
on the S&P 500 volume indicators. Using the principles outlined above, you may
wish to trade options on the SPY, ^SPX, DIAMONDS (DIA). It is also conceivable
that an analysis similar to the one shown below could be used to trade options
based on the NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, and other indexes.
©HGH Associated Traders
Important:
The analysis results presented in the “Best Trade" may differ from
the outlook presented in the daily Market Commentaries. Results may also differ
from the trading signals generated for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), or from any
other research and analysis efforts shared with our members. These are products
developed by independent research teams, delivered to MarketVolume® members.
While sharing some research results, these autonomous research teams may use
different systems and may have dissimilar market outlooks.
| Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended
for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice,
nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. This newsletter illustrates
examples based
principally on MarketVolume® index volume indicators and advance/decline (AD)
indicators. We do not mean to imply that you should follow
our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our
analytics to develop your own trading style. |
|
2007 |
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
December 24, 2007 |
SPY Options |
|
December 20, 2007 |
SPY Options Trading |
|
December 12, 2007 |
SPY Options |
|
December 11, 2007 |
Trading SPY Options |
|
November 30, 2007 |
SPY Options Trading |
|
November 23, 2007 |
SPY Options |
|
November 12, 2007 |
SPY Options Trading |
|
November 6, 2007 |
SPY Options |
|
October 16, 2007 |
QQQQ Options |
|
October 11, 2007 |
QQQQ Options Trading |
|
September 28, 2007 |
QQQQ |
|
September 24, 2007 |
Trading QQQQ Options |
|
September 12, 2007 |
QQQQ Trading |
|
September 10, 2007 |
Options
Trading |
|
August 21, 2007 |
Trading QQQQ |
|
August 16, 2007 |
QQQ |
|
August 8, 2007 |
Trading Options |
|
August 1, 2007 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 25, 2007 |
QQQQ Options
Trading |
|
July 18, 2007 |
Options
Trading |
|
July 17, 2007 |
Trading QQQQ Options |
|
June 21, 2007 |
Trading Options |
|
June 18, 2007 |
QQQQ Trading |
|
May 17, 2007 |
QQQQ |
|
May 16, 2007 |
Trading QQQQ |
|
May 11, 2007 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 9, 2007 |
QQQQ Options
Trading |
|
May 1, 2007 |
Trading QQQQ Options |
|
April 26, 2007 |
QQQQ Trading |
|
April 17, 2007 |
Trading QQQQ |
|
April 3, 2007 |
SPY Options |
|
March 30, 2007 |
SPY Options Trading |
|
March 26, 2007 |
QQQQ Options |
|
March 23, 2007 |
QQQQ Options Trading |
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