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Best Trade Newsletters
"Best
Trade" Newsletter (July 4, 2006)
In the following example, we have based our QQQQ options trades on
NASDAQ 100 advance / decline indicators. Using the principles outlined below,
you may wish to trade options on the SPDRs (SPY), ^SPX,
DIAMONDS Trust, Series 1
(DIA), as well as on other underlies that generally tend to move in concert with
the S&P 500 index. It is also conceivable that an analysis similar to the one
shown below could be used to trade options based on the NASDAQ 100,
Russell
2000, and other indexes.
For this "Best trade", A trade (Buy
Calls) is opened
in order to close it later with profit if the
index moves in our favor.
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades,
including detailed trade calculations.
|
Chart 1: |
NASDAQ 100 Advance / Decline
Issues - July, 2006. |
 |
In Table 1 - a 'Table of Trade Motivators'
- we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.
Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators
|
Date |
Trading
Decision |
Motivation |
|
07/05/06 |
Buy Calls |
On July 5, 2006 the NASDAQ 100 Advance/Decline
(A/D) issues and A/D volume ratios reached extremely bearish levels of 0.05
and 0.03, respectively. During the intraday timeframe the
NASDAQ 100
advance/decline (A/D) issues and A/D volume ratios reached even lover levels of
0.02 around 10:00. Last time the NASDAQ 100 index reached similarly
critically low sentiment readings on January 20, 2006. This revealed an
extremely bearish market sentiment, indicating the market is oversold and thus
prone to trend reversals. Since our indicators are
strong with respect to the resumption of the mid-term uptrend we have purchased
calls with expiration in September. |
Below we list in detail the actual trades made,
along with the netted returns achieved.
Table 2: Details of the trades
|
Date |
Trade |
Strike |
Expiration |
Contracts |
Contract
Price |
|
07/05/2006 |
Buy QQQIL Calls |
$38 |
Sep. 2006 |
70 |
$1.55 |
©HGH Associated Traders
Important:
The analysis results presented in the "Best Trade" may differ from
the outlook presented in the daily Market Commentaries. Results may also differ
from the trading signals generated for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), or from any
other research and analysis efforts shared with our members. These are products
developed by independent research teams, delivered to MarketVolume® members.
While sharing some research results, these autonomous research teams may use
different systems and may have dissimilar market outlooks.
| Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended
for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice,
nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. This newsletter illustrates
examples based
principally on MarketVolume® index volume indicators and
advance/decline (AD)
indicators. We do not mean to imply that you should follow
our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our
analytics to develop your own trading style. |
|
2006 (first part) |
|
Date |
Indicator |
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June 28, 2006 |
QQQQ Options |
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June 15, 2006 |
QQQQ Options Trading |
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June 15, 2006 |
Options Trading |
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May 17, 2006 |
Trading QQQQ Options |
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May 12, 2006 |
Trading Options |
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May 11, 2006 |
QQQQ |
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May 8, 2006 |
QQQQ Trading |
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April 27, 2006 |
Trading QQQQ |
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April 26 2006 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 18, 2006 |
Trading QQQQ Options |
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April 17 2006 |
QQQQ Trading |
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March 29, 2006 |
QQQQ Options |
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March 28 2006 |
Options Trading |
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March 14, 2006 |
QQQQ |
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March 10 2006 |
QQQQ Options Trading |
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March 8, 2006 |
Trading QQQQ Options |
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March 3, 2006 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 28, 2006 |
QQQQ Trading |
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February 8, 2006 |
Options Trading |
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February 2, 2006 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 31, 2006 |
QQQQ |
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January 29, 2006 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 20, 2006 |
QQQQ Options Trading |
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January 13, 2006 |
QQQQ Options |
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