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Best Mid-Term Trade
Mid-Term
Trade (January 29, 2006)
continuation of the
previous best trade
01/20/2006
The question below has been asked of us by numerous
newsletter subscribers during the past couple of days.
Question:"When do we normally close ‘Best Trade’
that was left opened on January 20, 2006?" (read
last "Best Trade" newsletter)
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Chart 1: |
Last "Best Trade"
newsletter, where we left a
QQQQ call position open. January, 2006.
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Answer:
Please keep in mind that
our newsletter is intended for educational purposes
only – We do not mean to imply that you should follow our exact trades,
but rather we wish to suggest that you may make use of our analytics to
develop your own trading style. (read
our disclaimer)
Depending on the market, different trading strategies may be used to close
the options trade that was opened on January 20, 2006…..
Trading Strategy #1: For conservative trading:
The trade could be
closed now when the purchased options cost $1.85 (was bought a $1.40)
and the investor could take
32% profit. If you read our
2005 report of critical reversal points you will see that only 4
occurrences of critically low sentiment reading were noted in 2005. By
making only 4 conservative trades per year and fixing 30% profit on each
trade a conservative trader could potentially make more then 100% on QQQQ
options in a year with a minimum risk.
Trading Strategy #2: For more aggressive trading: The simple strategy may be to close a
trade when on S&P 500 15-day chart the slow (40) moving average overcrosses
the fast (20) moving average, indicating the possible change in the short
term trend. Depending on the risk tolerance the value of the slow moving
average may be increased (more aggressive) or decrease (more conservative).
Trading Strategy #3: The most aggressive strategy:
Wait for a selling volume surge that
could be compared to the buying volume surge when the trade was initiated or
wait for positive sentiment reading - when S&P 500 A/D volume and issues
ratios reached at least 5.
Notes:
Since the S&P 500 based indicators the best
describe market mood in whole they could be used to trade any stock that
moves abroad with market.
Important:
The analysis results presented in the "Best Trade" may differ from
the outlook presented in the daily Market Commentaries. Results may also differ
from the trading signals generated for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), or from any
other research and analysis efforts shared with our members. These are products
developed by independent research teams, delivered to MarketVolume® members.
While sharing some research results, these autonomous research teams may use
different systems and may have dissimilar market outlooks.
| Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended
for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice,
nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. This newsletter illustrates
examples based
principally on MarketVolume®'s index volume indicators and advance/decline (AD)
indicators. We do not mean to imply that you should follow
our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our
analytics to develop your own trading style. |
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