Chart of the Week: NASDAQ 100
April 22, 2002
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Our professional trader
had some successes and some losses over the past month, but still came out on
top! He has our volume indicators to thank for having made over $20,000 in
the last month!
|
Security |
Return |
| Options
(NDX April) |
76% |
| Options
(NDX May) |
20% |
Once again the NASDAQ 100 tested it's major support level, which was set
near the end of February. Only this time the volume was quite pronounced, as
it rose quickly to a very high level. This volume is quite significant when
you add up each individual surge. You can see from the chart below that
there were 4 large volume surges as the index was going down, and each of
these surges was more than 1.5 million!

All of the above trades were placed using simple volume analysis
techniques, where when volume goes up while the index is going down, buy
once the volume peaks. Likewise, when the index is going up and volume goes
up, sell when volume has peaked. When you look at the above trades, you can
see they are all substantiated with a moderate to large increase in volume,
and all trades occurred once the volume has peaked.
As I explained, the volume that we see on this chart is quite a
significant indicator that the NASDAQ 100 has reached it's support level. It
is even more significant because all of the volume surges which occurred
between April 9th and April 12th were as the index was declining.
Generally we would tell our users that now is a good time to go long on
the NASDAQ 100 index, but there is some room for doubt as there was a
moderate amount of volume on April 15th as the market we moving up. We
estimate that this volume covers about 30% of the volume that we saw on the
index's way down. Since this volume occurred as the index was increasing, we
have reason to think that the NASDAQ 100 index will once again re-check it's
support level.
Don't expect to see the NASDAQ 100 go through it's support level of about
1,300 unless there is a large increase in volume where the 1-day VMA for the
NASDAQ 100 exceeds about 2 million and the index is moving up. It this
situation occurs, we suggest that our customers close their long positions,
but not to begin shorting unless there is no significant volume increases as
the index moves down.
We don't think the NASDAQ 100 breaching it's support level is very
likely, but we want our customers to know what signals to look for that
indicate this will happen. Otherwise, we expect to see the
NASDAQ 100
continue moving up, if not after having re-checked it's support level.
Based on MarketVolume's analysis, our
professional investor was able to make the following returns:
|
Security |
Return |
| Options
(NDX April) |
76% |
| Options
(NDX May) |
20% |
We welcome any questions or comments from our
customers regarding this chart of the week.
To see more details about the
motivations
behind the above trades and trade details, sign
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|
2002 |
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
December 30, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
December 19, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
December
10, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 Index |
| November
27, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 20, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 (NDX) |
| November
13, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 6, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
November
1, 2002 |
NDX |
| October 25, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
| September 25, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
September 18, 2002 |
SPX |
|
September 6, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
August 21 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 (NDX) |
|
August 14 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
August 7, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
July 31, 2002 |
NDX |
|
July 24, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 (NDX) |
|
July 17, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) |
|
July 10, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
June 26, 2002 |
QQQQ |
|
June 14, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
June 12, 2002 |
QQQQ |
|
June 5, 2002 |
S&P 500 Trading |
|
May 31, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
May 29, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) |
|
May 22, 2002 |
QQQQ |
|
May 17, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
May 15, 2002 |
QQQQ |
|
May 8, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
May 3, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
May 1, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) |
|
April 28, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 index |
|
April 22, 20022 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
April 3, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
February 25, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
February 8, 2002 |
NDX |
|
January 30, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|