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Volume Based Technical Analysis

Upside/Downside VMA's (Volume Moving Averages)


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The Following charts are examples of VMA surges to the downside and VMA surges to the upside.

Below we have an example of multiple volume surges, some occurring to the downside (in red) and some to the upside (in green). A VMA surge to the downside caused the index to go up, and a VMA surge to the upside causes the index to go down.

S&P 500 chart

Above there were 3 VMA surges to the downside that caused the index to begin to move up, but then there was a VMA surge to the upside that caused the index to move down again.

Why did the single VMA surge to the upside cause the index to move down when there were 3 VMA surges to the downside?

That's because the VMA surge to the upside was MUCH larger than the VMA surges to the downside.

S&P 500

When we change the VMA period to a 15-Day VMA, it becomes more difficult to see the VMA surges. But in general the same principal still works. The VMA increase (surge) to the downside (in red) causes the index to go up, and the VMA surge (increase) to the upside (in green) causes the index to go down.

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11/20/2009 - SV1