- Advance/Decline Analysis

Nasdaq in a month?

Up

The same as now

Down

I don't know

Advance/Decline Technical Analysis (Breadth Analysis)

Advance Decline Sentiment Report

Advance/Decline Quotes

Daily Advance/Decline (AD) Sentiment Report - (100% mechanical)

Advance decline, report, sentiment report, DJI, NYSE, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, quotes, SPX, NDX, advance, decline, quotes, sentiment, advance decline ratio

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S&P 500 NASDAQ 100 DJI Russell 2000 NYSE
S&P 500 Sentiment Report - 02/03/2012
 Based on volume and advance/decline indicator of the S&P 500 basket
Previous trading day (02/02/2012) outlook: 50% Up and 50% Down.

The S&P 500 index advanced 1.45% today.

Advances beat declines by a ratio of almost 7 to 1 (an A/D issues ratio of 7.03); however, based on volume readings, winners beat losers by the higher margin of 51 to 5 (an A/D volume ratio of 10.18). By the end of the day, we noted a divergence between the A/D issues and A/D volume ratios (TRIN = 0.69). The TRIN tells us that advancing stocks were traded more actively than declining stocks. Advancers showed an average volume per stock of 67,570.82 M while decliners traded an average of 46,669.82 M per issue. The highest A/D issues (18.60) and A/D volume (19.53) ratios of the session were noted around 9:30, after the index had gained about 0.5% from its opening level. The daily data reveals a strongly positive market mood.  
Next Day S&P 500 Outlook:    Up 43%
  DOWN      57%
More Detailed Outlook...
(Next day outlook is 100% mechanically calculated and is based on index reaction to similar market sentiment occurrences in history back to 1997)
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About Daily AD Report:

  • The report is 100% mechanical;
  • The outlook is updated daily after the market close (generally by 17:30 EST);
  •  The report is generated for the most popular indexes, including the NYSE Composite, DJI, S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, as well as the Russell 2000.
  • After the market close, our system will:
    1. Automatically collect Advance/Decline data: Number of advanced and declined issues, advanced and declined volume, advance/decline volume and issues ratios, TRIN;
    2. Perform a historical scan for trading days which exhibited similar AD data on a closing basis;
    3. Determine the trend as well as the biggest advances and declines the following trading day;
    4. Formulate an outlook for the following trading day based on similar occurrences using historical AD data.
  • The system analyzes historical data going back to 1997;
  • The outlook for the following trading day is formulated as a percentage - stating a probability of the market being up or down that day. For instance, an outlook may state a 60% probability of an up-day versus a 40% probability of a down-day based on similar AD data in the period between 1997 and the present.

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